Friday, September 2, 2011


Four background statements and a question:
1.  FCC says that as of about 2012 about 90% of Americans will be able to buy 50-100 Mbps download speeds – for high-speed Internet access.  (Asymmetric upload, but that’s for another day.)
2.  At that point, however, 75-85% of the population (again, according to the Commission) will likely have only one choice of provider for this kind of speed: their local cable operator.  The major cable systems have clustered their operations and don’t compete with one another.


3.  Verizon’s FiOS fiber-to-the-home Internet access service is and will be competitive with the cable high-speed access, but Verizon does not plan to expand this service.  (Boston, Baltimore, and Alexandria, forget it.)  So that’s why 75-85% of Americans will have only one choice of provider.
4.  Satellite providers can get you content, but not the same kinds of Internet access speeds that your cable operator will be able to provide.  FiOS can get you speeds, but not the same sports and other content that cable can.  And DSL and wireless just can’t compete on the speed factor.
Then what happens?

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